Mavericks at Celtics NBA Finals Game 5 odds, experts’ picks: Can Dallas hold on in Boston?

Gentleman’s sweep, or the start of a historic comeback? After the Mavericks’ thrilling 122-84 Game 4 win over the Boston Celtics, that’s the obvious question on paper. The Celtics are back home for Monday night’s game, once again on the brink of a title and the first rings for Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Kristaps Porziņģis.

At time of publication, Porziņģis is still questionable for Game 5, but he most likely won’t play. His absence was felt in Games 3 and 4, and Dallas took advantage, but the Celtics showed they can win without him.

Does the blowout win in Dallas mean anything for Game 5 in Boston, or was it the latest blowout from a team exiting the series? Was the Mavs’ performance in Game 4 repeatable, or was it a deep breath before the Celtics sealed the deal?

Here’s a look at the odds and storylines for Monday’s Game 5 in Boston.

All odds from BetMGM. Find the best deals on StubHub for tickets.

Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics

How to watch: 8:30 PM ET on ABC

Celtics lead series 3-1

Series odds: Celtics -3000, Mavericks +1300

The Celtics are comfortable favorites to win this game and capture the championship. Their chances of winning the series are still ridiculously low, despite falling from -10,000 after going up 3-0. Boston should have a lot of confidence going into Game 5 based on how the Celtics have played at home so far in this series. There’s a good chance they’re on their way to a win at TD Garden.

But their mistakes in Game 4 showed holes that Dallas must continue to create and exploit if they want to hang on. Despite the odds, the Mavericks turned it into a real series on Friday evening. Combining the fourth quarter of Game 3, when Dallas went on a 21-2 run, and all four quarters of Game 4, the Mavericks have outscored Boston 151-105. Have they finally made an adjustment that will keep the Celtics at bay? Or will the Celtics enter Game 5 with their own adjustments?

Dallas did a better job of protecting the rim in Game 4, falling into a rotation that worked better against Boston with Dereck Lively II and Josh Green. The Mavs’ role players were more reliable. Lively had a double-double with 11 points, 12 rebounds and a plus/minus of plus-20. Maxi Kleber barely registered any stats, but found a way to make his size a bigger factor in the defense, with a plus/minus of plus-25. They shot better from three than the Celtics for the first time this series, with a percentage of 40.5 from deep.

As for Dallas’ two stars, Irving continued what he set out to do in Game 3, shooting 10-for-18 for 21 points, with four rebounds and six assists, and Luka Dončić continued his elite play with 29 points, five assists and five rebounds. (although Dončić went 0-for-8 on three-pointers). Before Dallas won Game 4, Irving was on a 13-game losing streak playing against his former team, and he recently admitted that the taunts from Boston have affected him.

Winning at TD Garden will be an uphill battle, as will coming back from 3-1.

Expert picks for Mavericks at Celtics

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More NBA Finals coverage

Kyrie Irving, down 3-1 again, returns to Boston for his ultimate test

Mavericks finally show Celtics and the NBA world the best of themselves

Joe Mazzulla warned the Celtics they were vulnerable, then Dallas fought back in the NBA Finals

The Mavericks’ NBA Finals blowout was impressive, but does it mean anything for Game 5?

(Photo of Kyrie Irving: Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images)