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Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 6-16-24 picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Truist Park. Here is an Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays prediction.

Tampa Bay Rays betting example

The Tampa Bay Rays are 33-38 this year and next play the Twins and Pirates. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 8 points in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer points in 4 straight games. The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer points. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 72 hits and 30 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Amed Rosario have combined for 129 hits and 61 RBI.

Atlanta Braves betting example

The Atlanta Braves are 38-30 this year and next play the Tigers and Yankees. The Atlanta Braves have scored 22 points in their last 3 games and 4 or more points in 5 of their last 9 games. The Atlanta Braves have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 83 hits and 62 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Albies have combined for 129 hits and 52 RBI.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Zach Eflin gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays and he is 3-4 with a 4.06 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. Eflin has allowed 10 hits and 4 runs in his last 9.2 innings. Eflin has a 5.02 ERA and a .290 batting average allowed in 37.2 road innings. Eflin is 7-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 73 career strikeouts against the Atlanta Braves.

Hurston Waldrep gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves and he is 0-1 with a 17.18 ERA and 1 strikeout this season. Waldrep has allowed 4 hits and 7 runs in 3.2 innings. This will be Waldrep’s second career in the MLB. This will be Waldrep’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won each of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves lost three of their last four games as home favorites after a home win.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight Sunday road games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cross the finish line in 11 of their last 12 Sunday home games against American League opponents.
  • The Braves have trailed after five innings in four of their last six games as favorites.

Facts about Atlanta Braves players

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last three home games against AL East opponents.
  • Austin Riley has recorded a double in three of the Braves’ last four home games against opponents with a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one point in seven of his last eight home games against the Rays after playing the day before.
  • Matt Olson has scored at least one goal in each of the Braves’ last 12 home games against AL opponents with a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one single in nine of his last ten appearances in day games against AL teams that had a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has achieved at least one total base in each of his last ten appearances in day games against AL teams that had a losing record.

Facts about Tampa Bay Rays players

  • Randy Arozarena has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four games against NL East opponents with a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded a double in three of his last four outings with the Rays as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded an RBI in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Zach Eflin has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances against opponents with a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored at least one point in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one single in each of the Rays’ last nine games.
  • Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one goal in each of his last ten road appearances against opponents with a winning record.
  • Amed Rosario has made at least one base in each of his last 10 road appearances.

Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Atlanta Braves get the benefit of the doubt because they are the better team and play at home. The Rays have also been inconsistent all year and underperformed to some extent. However, the Rays have the more reliable pitcher on the mound Zach Eflin. Hurston Waldrep is making his second career start and he wasn’t great in his MLB debut. I’m not trying to support Waldrep. Give me the Rays and the better value given the pitching situation.